Probabilistic Tractable Models in Mixed Discrete-Continuous Domains

Author:

Bueff Andreas1,Speichert Stefanie1,Belle Vaishak12

Affiliation:

1. School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Old College, South Bridge, Edinburgh, EH8 9YL, UK

2. Alan Turing Institute, British Library, 96 Euston Road, London NW1 2DB, UK

Abstract

Abstract We study the problem of the unsupervised learning of graphical models in mixed discrete-continuous domains. The problem of unsupervised learning of such models in discrete domains alone is notoriously challenging, compounded by the fact that inference is computationally demanding. The situation is generally believed to be significantly worse in discrete-continuous domains: estimating the unknown probability distribution of given samples is often limited in practice to a handful of parametric forms, and in addition to that, computing conditional queries need to carefully handle low-probability regions in safety-critical applications. In recent years, the regime of tractable learning has emerged, which attempts to learn a graphical model that permits efficient inference. Most of the results in this regime are based on arithmetic circuits, for which inference is linear in the size of the obtained circuit. In this work, we show how, with minimal modifications, such regimes can be generalized by leveraging efficient density estimation schemes based on piecewise polynomial approximations. Our framework is realized on a recent computational abstraction that permits efficient inference for a range of queries in the underlying language. Our empirical results show that our approach is effective, and allows a study of the trade-off between the granularity of the learned model and its predictive power.

Publisher

MIT Press - Journals

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,General Environmental Science

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