Hidden Markov Model(HMM)-Based Fishing Activity Prediction Using V-Pass Data

Abstract

Illegal fishing has been a serious threat to the conservation of seafood resources and provoked the importance of marine surveillance. There are several types of fishing vessel monitoring systems operated by Republic of Korea, for example, Vessel Monitoring System(VMS), Automatic Identification System (AIS), V-Pass and VHF-DSC. However, those methods are not adaptable directly to fishing activity monitoring. The limitation requires more human resources to determine fishing status. Thus, this study proposes a method of estimating fishing activity from V-Pass, fishing vessel position reporting system, using Hidden Markov Model (HMM). HMM is a model to determine status through probability distribution for a sequence of time-series data. First of all, fishing activity status was labeled on V-Pass data. The distribution of speed on fishing activity was computed from the labeled data and HMM was constructed from the data obtained at Socheongcho Ocean Research Station (SORS). The model was first applied to the data of SORS for a test, and then Busan for validation. The model showed 99.4% and 89.6% as test and validation accuracy, respectively. It is concluded that the HMM can be applicable to predict a fishing activity from vessel tracks.