Predicting customer churn using grey wolf optimization‐based support vector machine with principal component analysis

Author:

Durkaya Kurtcan Betul1ORCID,Ozcan Tuncay1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Management Engineering Department Istanbul Technical University Istanbul Turkey

Abstract

AbstractCustomer churn is a challenging problem that can lead to a loss of organizational assets. Organizations need to predict customer churn successfully in order to get rid of potential damages and gain a competitive advantage. The aim of this study is to provide a churn prediction model by including feature selection and optimization in classification. The study performs principal component analysis (PCA) to select the best features, support vector machine (SVM) to predict customer churn, and grey wolf optimization (GWO) to optimize the parameters of SVM. In other words, this study proposes a novel hybrid model called PCA‐GWO‐SVM to enhance the prediction ability in customer churn. A comparison experiment is carried out, evaluating the proposed model with the other classification algorithms. Experimental results show that the proposed PCA‐GWO‐SVM hybrid model produces higher accuracy, recall, and F1‐score than other machine learning algorithms such as logit, k‐nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, decision tree, and SVM.

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Management Science and Operations Research,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Strategy and Management,Computer Science Applications,Modeling and Simulation,Economics and Econometrics

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1. Deep Dive Into Churn Prediction in the Banking Sector: The Challenge of Hyperparameter Selection and Imbalanced Learning;Journal of Forecasting;2024-09-05

2. Customer churn prediction in imbalanced datasets with resampling methods: A comparative study;Expert Systems with Applications;2024-07

3. Tri-Strategy Remora Optimization Algorithm based Support Vector Machine for Customer Churn Prediction;2024 International Conference on Integrated Circuits and Communication Systems (ICICACS);2024-02-23

4. A Two-Stage Ensemble Approach for Analysis of Optimizing Customer Churn with Lime Interpretability;2024 IEEE International Conference on Computing, Power and Communication Technologies (IC2PCT);2024-02-09

5. Customer Churn Prediction in Telecommunication and Banking using Machine Learning: A Systematic Literature Review;2024 ASU International Conference in Emerging Technologies for Sustainability and Intelligent Systems (ICETSIS);2024-01-28

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