Machine Learning: A New Approach for Dose Individualization

Author:

Li Qiu‐Yue1,Tang Bo‐Hao1,Wu Yue‐E1,Yao Bu‐Fan1,Zhang Wei1,Zheng Yi1,Zhou Yue1,van den Anker John234,Hao Guo‐Xiang1,Zhao Wei15ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Institute of Clinical Pharmacology, Key Laboratory of Chemical Biology (Ministry of Education),NMPA Key Laboratory for Clinical Research and Evaluation of Innovative Drug, School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine Shandong University Jinan China

2. Division of Clinical Pharmacology Children's National Hospital Washington DC USA

3. Departments of Pediatrics, Pharmacology & Physiology, Genomics & Precision Medicine The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences Washington DC USA

4. Department of Pediatric Pharmacology and Pharmacometrics University of Basel Children's Hospital Basel Switzerland

5. NMPA Key Laboratory for Clinical Research and Evaluation of Innovative Drug, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University Shandong University Jinan China

Abstract

The application of machine learning (ML) has shown promising results in precision medicine due to its exceptional performance in dealing with complex multidimensional data. However, using ML for individualized dosing of medicines is still in its early stage, meriting further exploration. A systematic review of study designs and modeling details of using ML for individualized dosing of different drugs was performed. We have summarized the status of the study populations, predictive targets, and data sources for ML modeling, the selection of ML algorithms and features, and the evaluation and validation of their predictive performance. We also used the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) to assess the risk of bias of included studies. Currently, ML can be used for both a priori and a posteriori dose selection and optimization, and it can also assist the implementation of therapeutic drug monitoring. However, studies are mainly focused on drugs with narrow therapeutic windows, predominantly immunosuppressants (N = 23, 35.9%) and anti‐infectives (N = 21, 32.8%), and there is currently only very limited attention for special populations, such as children (N = 22, 34.4%). Most studies showed poor methodological quality and a high risk of bias. The lack of external validation and clinical utility evaluation currently limits the further clinical implementation of ML for dose individualization. We therefore have proposed several ways to improve the clinical relevance of the studies and facilitate the translation of ML models into clinical practice.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Pharmacology (medical),Pharmacology

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