Predictors of adverse perinatal outcomes in fetal growth restriction using a combination of maternal clinical factors and simple ultrasound parameters

Author:

Punyapet Pathinya1,Suwanrath Chitkasaem1ORCID,Chainarong Natthicha1,Sawaddisan Rapphon1,Vichitkunakorn Polathep2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine Prince of Songkla University Hat Yai Thailand

2. Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Prince of Songkla University Hat Yai Thailand

Abstract

AbstractObjectiveTo identify predictors of adverse perinatal outcomes in pregnancies with fetal growth restriction (FGR) using a combination of maternal clinical factors and simple ultrasound parameters and develop a risk‐scoring model for predicting adverse perinatal outcomes.MethodsA retrospective study of 370 non‐anomalous singleton pregnancies with FGR was conducted. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with adverse perinatal outcomes; P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The discriminative ability was measured with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A weighted score for each predictor was calculated.ResultsAdverse perinatal outcomes occurred in 165/370 (44.6%) cases. There were eight predictive factors, including a history of pregnancy‐induced hypertension (PIH) (score = 1), chronic hypertension (score = 3), PIH (score = 2), maternal weight gain less than 8 kg (score = 1), early‐onset FGR (score = 1), estimated fetal weight less than 5th percentile (score = 2), amniotic fluid index less than 5 cm (score = 3), and abnormal umbilical artery Doppler (score = 2), with total scores ranging from 0 to 15. AUC for the eight‐item predictive model was 0.799 (95% confidence interval 0.753–0.845).ConclusionA combination of maternal clinical factors and simple ultrasound parameters showed acceptable predictive performance for adverse perinatal outcomes in FGR.

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Obstetrics and Gynecology,General Medicine

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