Reliability analysis based on the Wiener process integrated with historical degradation data

Author:

Kang Wenda1,Tian Yubin1,Xu Houbao1ORCID,Wang Dianpeng1,Zheng Huiling2,Zhang Ming3,Mu Hao3

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematics and Statistics Beijing Institute of Technology Beijing China

2. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering Beihang University Beijing China

3. Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering Beijing China

Abstract

AbstractFor high‐reliability and long‐life electronic devices, reliability analyses based on degradation data with small sample sizes are an outstanding question. Recently, increasing attention has been paid to the abundant historical degradation data. Exploiting the information in these historical data efficiently and integrating them to benefit the current reliability analysis is an important issue. This study proposes a new integrating method for the historical and current degradation data based on the Wiener process by considering the consistency of failure mechanisms between the different batches of degradation data. Simulation studies show that the new method has superior reliability estimation, and is robust to the assumption of consistent failure mechanisms. Finally, the proposed method is used to analyze a real data set consisting of the metal‐oxide‐semiconductor field‐effect transistor (MOSFET) degradation data.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Management Science and Operations Research,Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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