Explosion pressure and duration prediction using machine learning: A comparative study using classical models with Adam‐optimized neural network

Author:

Idris Ahmad Muzammil1,Rusli Risza1,Mohamed Moamen Elsayed2,Ramli Ahmad Fakrul3,Nasif Mohammad Shakir4,Lim Jeng Shiun5

Affiliation:

1. Department of Chemical Engineering and Centre of Advanced Process Safety (CAPS) Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, Seri Iskandar Perak Malaysia

2. Alexandria University Alexandria Egypt

3. PETRONAS Research Sdn Bhd, Kawasan Institusi Bangi Kajang Malaysia

4. Department of Mechanical Engineering and Centre of Advanced Process Safety (CAPS) Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, Seri Iskandar Perak Malaysia

5. Process Systems Engineering Centre (PROSPECT), Research Institute for Sustainable Environment (RISE) School of Chemical and Energy Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Johor Bahru Malaysia

Abstract

AbstractThe application of machine learning (ML) for the prediction of gas explosion pressure remains limited, and the prediction of the explosion duration is nearly non‐existent. A series of dispersion and subsequent explosion computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted to determine explosion pressure and duration values. These results were used to train classical ML models, that is, support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) models. Additionally, a multi‐output Adam‐optimized artificial neural network (ANN) model was employed for performance comparison. All the models demonstrated respectable predictions for both parameters, while the RF model demonstrated the highest performance based on the metrics analyzed, followed by the DT model. The proposed gas volume and gas volume blockage ratio (gas‐VBR) emerged as the most crucial feature for predicting explosion pressure, while the monitoring point and gas‐VBR was the most important feature for explosion duration. It is recommended to consider the gas‐VBR feature in future studies rather than solely focusing on blockage ratio or obstacle location. The model proposed was compared with models from previous studies for predicting explosion pressure. The findings conclusively demonstrate that the multi‐output model outperforms the compared models, offering a notable advantage in its ability to predict both gas explosion pressure and duration.

Funder

Majlis Amanah Rakyat

Yayasan UTP

Publisher

Wiley

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