Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: Demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skill
Author:
Affiliation:
1. Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, London School of Economics, London, UK
2. Pembroke College, Oxford, UK
Publisher
Wiley
Subject
Atmospheric Science
Link
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.3384
Reference48 articles.
1. Testing the Mean of a Normal Population Under Dependence
2. Whither the Weather Analysis and Forecasting Process?
3. Sampling Uncertainty and Confidence Intervals for the Brier Score and Brier Skill Score
4. Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper
5. From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions
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1. Improvement of the Ensemble Methods in the Dynamical–Statistical–Analog Ensemble Forecast Model for Landfalling Typhoon Precipitation;Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II;2022
2. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences;2019
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