Predictors of Survival in Friedreich's Ataxia: A Prospective Cohort Study

Abstract

ABSTRACTBackgroundFriedreich's ataxia (FA) is a rare multisystemic disorder which can cause premature death.ObjectivesTo investigate predictors of survival in FA.MethodsWithin a prospective registry established by the European Friedreich's Ataxia Consortium for Translational Studies (EFACTS; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02069509) we enrolled genetically confirmed FA patients at 11 tertiary centers and followed them in yearly intervals. We investigated overall survival applying the Kaplan–Meier method, life tables, and log‐rank test. We explored prognostic factors applying Cox proportional hazards regression and subsequently built a risk score which was assessed for discrimination and calibration performance.ResultsBetween September 2010 and March 2017, we enrolled 631 FA patients. Median age at inclusion was 31 (range, 6–76) years. Until December 2022, 44 patients died and 119 terminated the study for other reasons. The 10‐year cumulative survival rate was 87%. In a multivariable analysis, the disability stage (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51, 95% CI 1.08–2.12, P = 0.02), history of arrhythmic disorder (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.34–6.39, P = 0.007), and diabetes mellitus (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.05–5.10, P = 0.04) were independent predictors of survival. GAA repeat lengths did not improve the survival model. A risk score built on the previously described factors plus the presence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction at echocardiography enabled identification of four trajectories to prognosticate up to 10‐year survival (log‐rank test P < 0.001).ConclusionsArrhythmias, progressive neurological disability, and diabetes mellitus influence the overall survival in FA. We built a survival prognostic score which identifies patients meriting closer surveillance and who may benefit from early invasive cardiac monitoring and therapy. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.