Affiliation:
1. El Colegio de la Frontera Norte Piedras Negras Coahuila Mexico
2. El Colegio del Estado de Hidalgo Pachuca hidalgo Mexico
Abstract
AbstractThe low fertility levels observed in Mexico in recent years have been accompanied by high levels of poverty. The paper analyzes the effect of multidimensional poverty on the observed levels of fertility at the municipal level, that is, the relationship between the spatial dispersion of fertility and the observed levels of poverty. The analysis is based on the application of two hierarchical Bayesian models, the first one representing a spatial field that adjusts the behaviour of the total fertility rate and a second one that adds the effect of the poverty covariate to the spatial field. The results show that an increase in municipal poverty levels would cause a significant increase in fertility rates, which is evidenced by the formation of spatial clusters where high levels of fertility and poverty are observed.
Subject
Geography, Planning and Development,Demography
Reference42 articles.
1. El bono demográfico en América Latina: El efecto económico de los cambios en la estructura por edad de una población [The demographic bonus in Latin America: The economic effect of changes in the age structure of a population];Aguirre G. P.;Población y Salud en Mesoamérica [Population and Health in Mesoamerica],2016
2. Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models
3. Anselin L. (1996).Interactive techniques and exploratory spatial data analysis. Regional Research Institute Working Papers. 200.