The atmospheric ‘cold blob’ over Fennoscandia from October 2023 to January 2024

Author:

Rantanen Mika1ORCID,Hyvärinen Otto1ORCID,Vajda Andrea1ORCID,Karpechko Alexey1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Finnish Meteorological Institute Helsinki Finland

Abstract

AbstractBetween October 2023 and January 2024, a remarkably persistent cold air anomaly prevailed over Fennoscandia on an otherwise record‐warm planet. This article describes the temperature anomalies, atmospheric circulation and seasonal predictions associated with the cold blob. The 4‐month period from October to January was the third coldest in Fennoscandia during the ongoing century. The cold blob was associated with anomalous atmospheric circulation; for example, jet stream wind speeds were exceptionally high south of Fennoscandia. Furthermore, seasonal forecasts failed to capture the cold blob, which may be related to difficulties in simulating El Niño teleconnections by long‐range forecasting systems.

Funder

Academy of Finland

Publisher

Wiley

Reference38 articles.

1. Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on European climate

2. Winter 2010 in Europe: A cold extreme in a warming climate

3. Copernicus.2024.Surface air temperature for January 2024.https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface‐air‐temperature‐january‐2024(accessed 22 February 2024).

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