Author:
Ford Tamsin,Hutchings Judy,Bywater Tracey,Goodman Anna,Goodman Robert
Abstract
BackgroundRoutine outcome monitoring may improve clinical services but remains
controversial, partly because the absence of a control group makes
interpretation difficult.AimsTo test a computer algorithm designed to allow practitioners to compare
their outcomes with epidemiological data from a population sample against
data from a randomised controlled trial, to see if it accurately
predicted the trial's outcome.MethodWe developed an ‘added value’ score using epidemiological data on the
Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ). We tested whether it
correctly predicted the effect size for the control and intervention
groups in a randomised controlled trial.ResultsAs compared with the a priori expectation of zero, the Added Value Score
applied to the control group predicted an effect size of 70.03 (95% CI
70.30 to 0.24, t = 0.2, P = 0.8). As
compared with the trial estimate of 0.37, the Added Value Score applied
to the intervention group predicted an effect size of 0.36 (95% CI 0.12
to 0.60, t = 0.1, P = 0.9).ConclusionsOur findings provide preliminary support for the validity of this
approach as one tool in the evaluation of interventions with groups of
children who have, or are at high risk of developing, significant
psychopathology.
Publisher
Royal College of Psychiatrists
Subject
Psychiatry and Mental health
Cited by
47 articles.
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