Labor Substitutability among Schooling Groups

Author:

Bils Mark123,Kaymak Barış456ORCID,Wu Kai-Jie1

Affiliation:

1. University of Rochester

2. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

3. National Bureau of Economic Research

4. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

5. Université de Montréal

6. CIREQ

Abstract

Knowing the degree of substitutability between schooling groups is essential to understanding the role of human capital in income differences and to assessing the economic impact of such policies as schooling subsidies, immigration systems, or redistributive taxes. We derive a lower bound for the substitutability required for worldwide growth in real GDP from 1960 to 2010 to be consistent with a stable wage premium for schooling despite the rapid growth in schooling, assuming no exogenous worldwide regress in the technology frontier for workers with only primary schooling. That lower bound for the long-run elasticity of substitution is about 4, which is far higher than values commonly used in the literature. Given our bound, we reexamine the importance of human capital in cross-country income differences and the roles of school quality versus the skill bias of technology in greater efficiency gains from schooling in richer countries.

Publisher

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

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