The Long-Run Costs of Higher Inflation

Author:

L'Huillier Jean-Paul1ORCID,DeLuca Martin J.1

Affiliation:

1. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Abstract

This Economic Commentary provides an overview of several frictions and the channels through which they affect economic welfare under elevated trend inflation above 2 percent. These frictions, associated with financial transactions, price and wage stickiness, and cognitive limitations, suggest that inflation imposes significant costs on society. Higher inflation may lead to a steeper Phillips curve, a situation which increases the volatility of inflation and interest rates.

Publisher

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Subject

General Medicine

Reference9 articles.

1. 1. Del Negro, Marco, Michele Lenza, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti. 2020. "What's Up with the Phillips Curve?" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2020 (1): 301-73. https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2020.0004.

2. 2. Federal Open Market Committee. 2012. "Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement of Longer-Run Goals and Policy Strategy." Press Release. January 25, 2012, 2:00 pm EST. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20120125c.htm.

3. 3. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. n.d. "What Is Inflation?" Inflation 101. Center for Inflation Research. Accessed September 6, 2023. https://www.clevelandfed.org/center-for-inflation-research/inflation-101/what-is-inflation-start.

4. 4. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. n.d. "Making Sense of the Federal Reserve: The Fed and the Dual Mandate." In Plain English. Accessed September 6, 2023. https://www.stlouisfed.org/in-plain-english/the-fed-and-the-dual-mandate.

5. 5. Hajdini, Ina, Edward S. Knotek, II, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert W. Rich, and Raphael S. Schoenle. 2022. "Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence." Working paper 22-35. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202235.

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