Assessment of climatic impact on growth and production of rice (Kharif) and wheat (Rabi) using geospatial technology over Haryana

Abstract

Global climate change could have a substantial negative influence on Indian agriculture and becoming more common and intense growing as a result of food security. Indeed, the examination of weather variability on agricultural growth and production is always complex. The weather variability impact on agricultural growth and production has been evaluated by Pearson correlation analysis among various weather variables (minimum temperature, maximum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and rainfall), vegetation indices (NDVI and LAI) and crop yield (wheat and rice) on yearly and monthly basis for the time period from the year 1991 to 2020 in the present study. Initially, the temporal behavior of weather variables and vegetation indices have been explored on the monthly and yearly time scale for the long term (1991-2020) along with crop yield over Indian state of Haryana. After that a Pearson correlation analysis have been carried out among the weather variables, vegetation indices and crop yield on monthly and yearly time scale, individually to understand the relationship of NDVI-weather and LAI- weather along with the long-term weather impact on agricultural production. A significant correlation is found between NDVI- weather and LAI- weather on monthly and yearly basis. The positive impact of the temperature, relative humidity and rainfall is found on the rice crop production, while the wind speed showed the negative impact on the rice crop production during the Kharif season in Haryana state of India during the years 1998-2018. In case of wheat crop (Rabi season), the minimum temperature, rainfall and relative humidity supports the wheat crop production, while the maximum temperature and wind speed showed the negative impact on the wheat yield in Haryana during the years 1998-2018. Overall, this study has found the annual increase in wheat crop yield approximately 0.044 tons per hectare, and rice crop yield 0.029 tons per hectare.