Forecasting changes in the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)

Author:

AKINFEEVA Ekaterina V.1ORCID,NIKONOVA Mariya A.1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS)

Abstract

Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the population of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). Objectives. The article aims to predict the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) on the basis of socio-economic factors. Methods. For the study, we used a statistical analysis, time series regression modeling, and the forecasting method. Results. Based on regression modeling of time series, eleven factors influencing the change in the population of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) were identified. The article presents two developed forecasts of changes in the demographic situation. Conclusions. The development of industry, science, and improving the quality of life of the population contribute to the improvement of the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The results obtained can be used to develop a comprehensive development programme for the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia).

Funder

Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation

Publisher

Publishing House Finance and Credit

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