Analysis of Cost Overrun and Schedule Delays of Infrastructure Projects in Low Income Economies: Case Studies in Ethiopia

Abstract

Today, several developing countries struggle to improve the cost and time performances of major infrastructure works due to various reasons. Cost overrun and delay are one of the major challenges being faced by the construction and infrastructure sector. Hence, the aim of this study is to explore the extent of cost overrun and schedule delays in building and road infrastructure projects across the Ethiopian construction industry. Primary data were collected through a structured questionnaire survey to evaluate the potential risks leading to those challenges. Various data analysis tools were employed, to investigate the critical causes of cost overrun and delays in infrastructure projects. The findings reveal that the minimum cost overrun for building construction projects is found to be 2%, whereas the maximum and average cost overruns are 248% and 35%, respectively. For road infrastructure projects, the minimum, maximum, and average cost overruns are found to be 1%, 61%, and 18%, respectively. Similarly, the minimum, maximum, and average delays recorded in building construction projects are 9%, 802%, and 143%, respectively, whereas, in road infrastructure projects, the minimum delay is found to be 3%, the maximum delay is 312%, and an average schedule delay of 110% is recorded. In addition, the top risk factors leading to cost overrun in infrastructure projects are inflation, inaccurate cost estimates, and variations, whereas the major risks causing schedule delays are variations, economic conditions, and escalation of material prices. Further, practical implications and key recommendations were provided to curb cost overrun and delay in infrastructure projects.