Game Analysis of Container Ports Co-Competition and Coordinated Development in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

Abstract

The port groups of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area faces a new competitive and cooperative game structure concerning global competition, making it is necessary to build a comprehensive port coordination and development mechanism. In this study, we apply the logistics model to conduct parameter estimation and evolution trend analysis on the development of the port group and highlight that the current container throughput of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area port group will reach the maximum and the new impetus is needed to push it into the next round of development and evolution. Combined with the theory of ecological population, the Lotka–Volterra model of multiple groups is introduced to study competition and cooperation game, explore their interaction, and provide quantitative support for the formation of different central port groups in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. The study provides references for strengthening the construction of complementary resources and coordinated mechanism within the port group, realizing the differential development between ports in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.