Contribution Rate Evaluation Method of Equipment System of Systems Based on Fault Tree

Abstract

In this paper, the terminal air defense equipment system of systems (TADESoS) is studied as an example. The TADESoS is an important part of the joint air defense equipment system of systems, which mainly carries out the combat task to the low altitude flight target. The contribution rate evaluation of the TADESoS can provide theoretical basis for guiding the tactical plan of the TADESoS. Aiming at the problems existing in the evaluation of contribution rate of TADESoS, such as the difficulty of describing the structure of system of systems, the strong subjectivity of the evaluation method, and the difficulty of application of the evaluation results, this paper proposes a method of evaluating the contribution rate of the TADESoS based on fault tree. The method describes the structure of the TADESoS by multiattribute nodes. The probability of the top event is calculated by using the probability of the bottom event. Finally, based on the importance of the bottom event, the contribution rate evaluation model of the TADESoS is established, which solves the existing problems in the current research. Finally, the feasibility of the method is verified by an example.