Modeling and Mapping of Aboveground Biomass and Carbon Stock Using Sentinel-2 Imagery in Chure Region, Nepal

Abstract

The concerns about climate change in recent decades have heightened the need for effective methods for assessing and reporting forest biomass and Carbon Stocks (CS) at local, national, continental, and global scales. Accurate assessment of Aboveground Biomass (AGB) is critical for the sustainable management of forests, especially in the Chure region, a fragile and young mountainous in the lesser Himalaya of Nepal. This paper presents the modeling and mapping approach and shows how medium-resolution Sentinel-2 multispectral instrument (MSI) data can be used instead of hyperspectral data in inaccessible areas of the Chure region. The data were collected and analyzed from 72 circular sample plots. 60% (43 random sample plots) were used to create the model, while the remaining 40% (29 plots) were used for model validation. This study involved calculating 12 different vegetation indices and correlating them with plot-level AGB. Five models, including linear, logarithmic, quadratic, power, and exponential, were created, but the best model was found to be the quadratic model using normalized difference vegetation indices (NDVIs) with an R2 value of 0.777 and a correlation coefficient of 0.881. The model’s AIC and BIC values were 313.60 and 320.65, respectively. The validity of the model was performed using observed and predicted AGB values, resulting in an r value of 0.9128, an R2 value of 0.8332, and an RMSE value of 10.7657 t·h−1. Finally, the developed regression equation was used to map AGB in the study area. The AGB per pixel ranges from 0 to 129.18 t·h−1, whereas the amount of CS ranges from 0 to 61.01 t·h−1. Among the different vegetation indices used in the study, NDVI was found to be more precise in estimating and mapping biomass and carbon stocks in this study. Therefore, the study recommends using the quadratic model of NDVI for accurate estimation of AGB and CS in the Chure region of Sainamaina municipality.