Dynamics of Chinese Export Comparative Advantage: Analysis Based on RSCA Index

Abstract

Based on $\text{RSCA}$ index, using kernel density estimation, Markov chain transition probability matrix, and survival analysis method, this paper analyzes the dynamics of Chinese export comparative advantage from 2001 to 2020 and draws the following conclusions. Firstly, after 20 years of export trade development, although the comparative advantage of a few commodities of China has weakened and comparative disadvantage has increased, the comparative advantage of most commodities is improving, and the overall distribution of comparative advantage remained unchanged. Secondly, the stability of Chinese comparative advantage is higher than liquidity, and liquidity as a whole shows a good trend. In addition, the viability of Chinese commodities with comparative advantage has performed well in the past 20 years. Therefore, China should optimize export mode based on comparative advantage.