Wetland Ecotourism Development Using Deep Learning and Grey Clustering Algorithm from the Perspective of Sustainable Development

Abstract

The purpose is to promote the sustainable development of wetland ecotourism in China and plan the passenger flow in different tourism periods. This work selects Zhangye Heihe wetland ecotourism spot as the research object. Firstly, the two single wetland ecotourism Demand Prediction Models (DPMs) are proposed based on the time series of the optimized Fuzzy Clustering Algorithm (FCA), grey theory, and the Markov Chain Method. The proposed wetland ecotourism DPM simulates and predicts the ecotourism passenger flow of wetland-scenic spots and verifies the maximum passenger flow. Then, a hybrid model combining the above two single models is proposed, namely, the wetland ecotourism DPM based on an optimized fuzzy grey clustering algorithm. Further, the proposed three models predict the passenger flow in wetland ecotourism spots from 2015 to 2019. A wetland Water Quality Evaluation (WQE) model based on Deep Learning Backpropagation Neural Network (Deep Learning (DL) BPNN) is proposed to evaluate the water quality in different water periods. The results show that the hybrid model’s Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) are 1.25% and 0.2532. By comparison, for two single models, the MAPE is 11.67% and 1.45%, respectively, and the RMSE is 0.2526 and 0.1652, respectively. Therefore, the mixed hybrid has the highest accuracy and stability. The water quality of the scenic spot in the wet season is obviously better than that in the dry season and flat season. It is suggested that the natural environmental factors, such as water quality and passenger flow in different periods, should be considered when formulating ecotourism development strategies.