An Improved Epidemiological Model for the Underprivileged People in the Contemporary Pandemics

Abstract

In this work, we introduce an improved form of the basic SEIRD model based on Python simulation for the troublesome people who are oblivious about the contemporary pandemics due to diverse social impediments, especially those economically underprivileged. In the extant epidemiological models, some unorthodox issues are yet to be considered, such as poverty, illiteracy, and carelessness towards health issues, significantly influencing the data modeling. Our focus is to overcome these issues by adding two more branches, for instance, uncovered and apathetic people, which significantly influence the practical purposes. For the data simulation, we have used the Python-based algorithm that trains the desired system based on a set of real-time data with the proposed model and provides predicted data with a certain level of accuracy. Comparative discussions, statistical error analysis, and correlation-regression analysis have been introduced to validate the proposed epidemiological model. To show the numerical evidence, the investigation comprised the figurative and tabular modes for both real-time and predicted data. Finally, we discussed some concluding remarks based on our findings.