Survival Analysis and a Novel Nomogram Model for Progression-Free Survival in Patients with Prostate Cancer

Abstract

Background. This study sought to perform a survival analysis and construct a prognostic nomogram model based on the Gleason grade, total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA), alkaline phosphate (ALP), and TNM stage in patients with prostate cancer (PCa). Methods. The progression-free survival (PFS) of 255 PCa patients was analyzed in this study. The prognostic value of tPSA and ALP was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram model based on the Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage was further established for PFS prediction in PCa patients. Results. PCa patients with different Gleason grades, tPSA and ALP levels, and TNM stages presented distinct PFS. The Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage were four independent prognostic indicators. The C-index of the established nomogram was 0.705 for PFS in the test cohort and 0.687 for the validation cohort, and the calibration curves indicated a good consistency between predicted and actual PFS in PCa patients. Conclusion. The data of this study demonstrated that the Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage of PCa patients are independently correlated with PFS, and a nomogram model based on these indicators may be valuable for the PFS prediction in PCa patient.