Estimation of Parameters and Pooling in Nonlinear Flooding Event Scenarios with Bayesian Model

Abstract

Water-related tragedies are the highest common of all proven natural calamities and pose severe attacks on people and on socioeconomic status development. Due to the obvious controversy surrounding, their volume, location and time of incidence, geological swaths, and geophysical interrelations, flood events are difficult to completely control. Hence, complete flood prevention is always considered to be a viable choice. The specialized flood occurrences are investigated by developing a structural measure. In this paper, nonlinear flood event circumstance is determined by using a statistical Bayesian parametric approach for parameter estimation. A popular tool for estimating a flood design is model of nonlinear flood event. Nonlinear flood event models are subjected to a Bayesian technique for estimating parameter. The approach is based on the minimization function of square for models with nonlinear calculated peak discharges in terms of parameters. The observed and calculated peak discharges for numerous storms in the watershed, data on the pattern of error observed, and previous information on values of parameter all influence this objective function. The subsequent matrix for covariance is a measure of the calculated parameters’ accuracy. Rainfall and runoff data from a Harvey River sample are used in this study to show the process.