Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm

Abstract

Wind energy is a renewable energy source with great development potential, and a reliable and accurate prediction of wind speed is the basis for the effective utilization of wind energy. Aiming at hyperparameter optimization in a combined forecasting method, a wind speed prediction model based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network optimized by the firework algorithm (FWA) is proposed. Focusing on the real-time sudden change and dependence of wind speed data, a wind speed prediction model based on LSTM is established, and FWA is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the model so that the model can set parameters adaptively. Then, the optimized model is compared with the wind speed prediction based on other deep neural architectures and regression models in experiments, and the results show that the wind speed model based on FWA-improved LSTM reduces the prediction error when compared with other wind speed prediction-based regression methods and obtains higher prediction accuracy than other deep neural architectures.