Affiliation:
1. Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of New Mexico, MSC07 4220, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA
Abstract
Ahluwalia and Jackiewicz (2011) have predicted that sunspot cycle 24 will be only half as active as cycle 23, reaching its peak in May2013±6months. Here, we discuss the timeline for cycle 24 since its onset in December, 2008 and compare it to the timelines for the last ten cycles (14 to 23) of the 20th century; cycle 24 is rising the slowest. We speculate that cycle 24 may herald the onset of a Dalton-like minimum in the 21st century. The implications of this outcome on global temperature change and ensuing socioeconomic and political scenarios are discussed, on the basis of the historical record.
Subject
Space and Planetary Science,Astronomy and Astrophysics
Cited by
13 articles.
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