Forecasting Electrical Energy Consumption of Equipment Maintenance Using Neural Network and Particle Swarm Optimization

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of electrical energy consumption of equipment maintenance plays an important role in maintenance decision making and helps greatly in sustainable energy use. The paper presents an approach for forecasting electrical energy consumption of equipment maintenance based on artificial neural network (ANN) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). A multilayer forward ANN is used for modeling relationships between the input variables and the expected electrical energy consumption, and a new adaptive PSO algorithm is proposed for optimizing the parameters of the ANN. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach provides much better accuracies than some other competitive methods on the test data.