Affiliation:
1. School of Traffic & Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, 410000 Hunan, China
Abstract
Due to the national economic development form and social development demand, in recent years, the government has been vigorously promoting the control of government-enterprise collusion in the bidding process of government projects in order to promote the standardization of the market. How to predict the vertical collusion behavior under different internal and external environments has become an important research content. Although the prediction of individual behavior is difficult to achieve, the prediction of group behavior has certain possibilities. In this paper, we propose a method for predicting and evaluating the vertical collusion behavior of government investment project bidding based on BP neural network analysis optimized by an annealing algorithm. First, drawing on the traditional evaluation model, the evaluation index system of government-enterprise collusion behavior is constructed from five dimensions: internal environment, external environment, policy development, enforcement effort, and feedback channel. Secondly, a machine learning method based on BP neural network optimized by an annealing algorithm is introduced to evaluate the influence of the change of initial conditions on the bidding collusion behavior. This study has certain significance for government managers to discover the problems and causes in policy formulation, which in turn can support the government in further improving the policy utility.
Funder
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Subject
General Engineering,General Mathematics
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