A Closed-Loop Method for Multiperiod Intelligent Information Processing with Cost Constraints under the Fuzzy Environment

Abstract

From trivial matters in life to major scientific projects related to the fate of mankind, decision-making is everywhere. Whether high-quality decisions can be made often directly affects the development of affairs, especially when sudden disasters occur. As the basis of decision-making, data are crucial. The continuously probabilistic linguistic set, a data structure of the fuzzy mathematics, is selected in the paper to collect original data after careful comparisons, because this data structure can fully consider the hesitation of decision-makers and the fuzziness of complex problems. Although all alternatives are costly, the costs of different alternatives still vary greatly; obviously, the low-cost alternative is better than others when the same predetermined goal can be achieved, which is one of the research objectives and characteristics of this paper. Different from other researchers who only take the cost as one of the decision-making indicators, the algorithm proposed in the paper pays much more attention on the cost reduction. When dealing with an emergency, it is often difficult to solve the problem by taking measures only once; usually, multiple rounds of measures are needed. Each round of decision-making has both connections and differences, and the multiround decision-making model is proposed and built in the paper. Different from traditional linear structures, the model mainly adopts the closed-loop structure, which divides the whole process into multiple sub-decision-making points, the severities measured at the current time point will be compared with the values estimated at the latter time point, and then, the differences will be input into the system, the corresponding automatic adjustment modules will be activated immediately according to the values. The accuracy of the system can be verified and adjusted in time by the closed-loop control module. Finally, several experiments are carried out and the results show that the algorithm proposed in the paper is more effective and the cost is lower.