Exploring the Inducement for Social Awareness Behavior and Optimal Control Strategy on Nipah Virus Transmission

Author:

Efat SaimaORCID,Kabir K. M. ArifulORCID

Abstract

Optimal control theory and evolutionary game theory are essential tools for comprehending and influencing the intricate behaviors of complex systems, particularly in the context of disease transmission and strategies for intervention. In this study, we leverage optimal control theory to address short‐term disease dynamics using a single season strategy. In contrast, evolutionary game theory guides our approach on a longer timescale through a repeated seasonal model. We employ a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations to dissect how the dynamics of primary infections impact the spread of Nipah disease. Our novel dynamic system extends the classical susceptible‐infected‐recovered (SIR) model by introducing four distinct population categories: humans, bats, fruit, and animals. We delve into this epidemic model’s theoretical underpinnings, examining disease‐free and endemic equilibria to establish stability conditions. To address the challenge of optimally reducing the number of infectious individuals, we formulate an optimal control problem featuring four distinct control strategies. These strategies are deployed to mitigate disease transmission, all driven by a generalized incidence function. By identifying the optimal amalgamation of these strategies, we aim to minimize the infectious population. Decisions about the selection and execution of diverse disease control policies rest upon theoretical projections and numerical simulations conducted over a single season. Our study also incorporates evolutionary game dynamics, wherein individuals choose whether to adopt awareness and protection measures after the disease has circulated within the community. We meticulously explore the impact of such awareness and protection measures to underscore their significance within the context of the epidemic model across multiple time steps. Moreover, we systematically analyze the parameter properties within the epidemic model to address diverse real‐world scenarios.

Publisher

Wiley

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3