Trend Prediction Model of Asian Stock Market Volatility Dynamic Relationship Based on Machine Learning

Abstract

With the rapid development of the global economy and stock market, stock investment has become a common investment method. People’s research on stock forecasting has never stopped. Accurately predicting the dynamic fluctuation of stocks can bring rich investment returns to investors while avoiding investment risks. Machine learning is a relatively important research field in artificial intelligence today, which is mainly used to study how to use machines to simulate human activities. In recent years, with the continuous development of the economy, machine learning under artificial intelligence has developed comprehensively in different fields, and it has been widely used in the field of the financial economy. Machine learning under artificial intelligence is currently widely used in stock market volatility dynamics and related research. This paper applied machine learning to the prediction of the dynamic relationship of Asian stock market volatility and established a model for predicting the dynamic relationship of stock market volatility under machine learning. By using statistical theory, linear support vector machines, generalizable bounds, and other algorithms, it provides the theoretical basis and feasibility analysis for the model. Through investigation and research, this paper found that compared with ordinary forecasting model methods, the stock volatility dynamic trend forecasting model based on machine learning has a relatively complete forecasting effect, and the accuracy of the machine learning forecasting model was up to 52%. The lowest was 39%, the average prediction accuracy was 46.5%, and the accuracy was improved by 16.8%. This showed that the introduction of machine learning prediction models in the dynamic prediction model of Asian stock volatility is relatively successful.