Power Law Analysis of Financial Index Dynamics

Author:

Tenreiro Machado J.1,Duarte Fernando B.2,Duarte Gonçalo Monteiro3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Electrical Engineering, Institute of Engineering, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal

2. Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Lusofona University, 1749-024 Lisbon, Portugal

3. Faculty of Economics and Management, Lusofona University, 1749-024 Lisbon, Portugal

Abstract

Power law (PL) and fractional calculus are two faces of phenomena with long memory behavior. This paper applies PL description to analyze different periods of the business cycle. With such purpose the evolution of ten important stock market indices (DAX, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, Nikkei, NYSE, S&P500, SSEC, HSI, TWII, and BSE) over time is studied. An evolutionary algorithm is used for the fitting of the PL parameters. It is observed that the PL curve fitting constitutes a good tool for revealing the signal main characteristics leading to the emergence of the global financial dynamic evolution.

Publisher

Hindawi Limited

Subject

Modelling and Simulation

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