Three-Phase Load Prediction-Based Hybrid Convolution Neural Network Combined Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory in Solar Power Plant

Abstract

The economic renewable energy generations have been rapidly developed because of the sharp reduction in the costs of solar panels. It is imperative to forecast the three-phase load power for more effective energy planning and optimization in a smart solar microgrid installed on a building in the Linyuan District, Taiwan. To alleviate this problem, this article proposes a convolution neural network bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN-Bi-LSTM) to accurately predict the short-term three-phase load power in building the energy management system in the smart solar microgrid with the collected data from advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), which have not been investigated before. The three-phase load-predicting methodology is developed using weather parameters and different collected data from AMI. The project evaluates the performance of the CNN-Bi-LSTM model by utilizing hyper-parameter optimization to attain the optimum parameters. The prediction models are trained based on hourly historical input features, selected based on the Pearson correlation coefficient. The performances’ optimal structure CNN-Bi-LSTM are validated and compared with the bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), LSTM, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and the recurrent neural network (RNN) models. The obtained optimized structure of CNN-Bi-LSTM demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed models in the short-term prediction of three-phase load power in a smart solar microgrid for building with a maximum enhancement of 68.36% and 8.81% average MSE, and 30.26% and 36.36% average MAE during the testing and validating operations.