A Hybrid Random Forest and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Model Based on Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Slope Stability Prediction: A Case Study in Sichuan–Tibet Highway, China

Abstract

Slope stability estimation is an engineering problem that involves several parameters. The problems of low accuracy of the model and blind data preprocessing are commonly existent in slope stability prediction research. To address these problems, 10 quantitative indicators are selected from 135 field cases to improve the accuracy of the model. These indicators were analyzed and visualized to examine their reliabilities after preprocessing. Combined with random forest (RF), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithms, a hybrid prediction model that the RF–PSO–LSSVM model is proposed for identifying slope stability, and its reliability is verified by other prediction models that SVM, logistic regression, decision trees, k-nearest neighbor, naive Bayes, and linear discriminant analysis. Besides, the importance score of each indicator in the prediction of slope stability is discussed by employing the RF algorithm. The research results show that the proposed hybrid model exhibits the best accuracy and superiority in slope stability prediction than other models in this paper, which its values of the best fitness, area under the curve, T-measure, and accuracy are 98.15%, 96.4%, 96.55%, and 95.82%, respectively. The most influential factors affecting slope stability are precipitation and gravity, and the slope type and pore water ratio are identified as the least significant factors in this paper. The results provide a novel approach toward slope stability prediction in the field of geotechnical engineering.