A New Inflammation-Related Risk Model for Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognosis

Abstract

Background. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterized by a poor prognosis. Inflammation has a vital role in the formation and development of HCC. However, the prediction of HCC prognosis using inflammation-related genes (IRGs) remains elusive. In this study, we constructed a new IRG risk model to predict the HCC prognosis. Results. HCC-related RNA expression profiles and their corresponding clinical data were downloaded from TCGA and ICGC databases to explore the IRGs’ predicting ability. Seven hundred thirty-seven IRGs from GeneCards were used as candidate genes to construct the model. The associations of overall survival (OS) with IRGs were evaluated using the log-rank test and univariate Cox analysis, and 32 out of 737 IRGs showed predicting the potential for HCC prognosis. These IRGs were further analyzed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox analyses. Finally, 6 IRGs were included in an IRG risk model. Based on the cut-off of the risk score calculated according to the IRG risk model, HCC samples were divided into the high-risk and the low-risk groups. The OS of patients was lower in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group ( $P<0.05$ ). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the risk score was 0.78 for 3-year survival. Univariate Cox and multivariate Cox analyses revealed that the risk score was an independent risk factor for HCC prognosis. The KEGG and GO enrichment analysis results further showed that the risk scores were closely related to inflammatory and immune pathways. In addition, the ssGSEA demonstrated that several immune cells and some immune-related pathways were negatively correlated with the risk score. Conclusions. The new IRG risk score was an independent risk factor for HCC prognosis and could be used to assess the immune status of the HCC microenvironment.