Affiliation:
1. HTA Austria-Austrian Institute for Health Technology Assessment (AIHTA) GmbH, Garnisongasse 7/21, Vienna 1090, Austria
Abstract
Purpose. Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women globally, with an incidence of approximately two million cases in 2018. Organised age-based breast cancer screening programs were established worldwide to detect breast cancer earlier and to reduce mortality. Currently, there is substantial anticipation regarding risk-adjusted screening programs, considering various risk factors in addition to age. The present study investigated the discriminatory accuracy of breast cancer risk prediction models and whether they suit risk-based screening programs. Methods. Following the PICO scheme, we conducted an overview of reviews and systematically searched four databases. All methodological steps, including the literature selection, data extraction and synthesis, and the quality appraisal were conducted following the 4-eyes principle. For the quality assessment, the AMSTAR 2 tool was used. Results. We included eight systematic reviews out of 833 hits based on the prespecified inclusion criteria. The eight systematic reviews comprised ninety-nine primary studies that were also considered for the data analysis. Three systematic reviews were assessed as having a high risk of bias, while the others were rated with a moderate or low risk of bias. Most identified breast cancer risk prediction models showed a low prognostic quality. Adding breast density and genetic information as risk factors only moderately improved the models’ discriminatory accuracy. Conclusion. All breast cancer risk prediction models published to date show a limited ability to predict the individual breast cancer risk in women. Hence, it is too early to implement them in national breast cancer screening programs. Relevant randomised controlled trials about the benefit-harm ratio of risk-adjusted breast cancer screening programs compared to conventional age-based programs need to be awaited.
Reference74 articles.
1. Global cancer statistics 2018: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries;F. Bray;CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians,2018
2. Breast cancer incidence by age;Cancer Research Uk,2022
3. Incidence of cancer in The Netherlands;Netherlands Cancer Registry,2022
4. Subtyping of Breast Cancer by Immunohistochemistry to Investigate a Relationship between Subtype and Short and Long Term Survival: A Collaborative Analysis of Data for 10,159 Cases from 12 Studies
5. Breast Cancer Treatment
Cited by
1 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献