Clinical Outcomes and Predictors of Late Recurrence in Young Patients with Atrial Fibrillation after Catheter Ablation

Abstract

Background. Catheter ablation (CA) is an established treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), but the recurrence of AF is not neglected. Young patients with AF were generally more symptomatic and intolerant to long-term drug treatment. We aim to explore clinical outcomes and predictors of late recurrence (LR) in AF patients younger than 45 years after CA to better manage them. Methods. We retrospectively studied 92 symptomatic AF patients who accepted CA from September 1, 2019, to August 31, 2021. Baseline clinical data (including N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide, NT-proBNP), ablation outcomes, and follow-up outcomes were collected. Patients were followed up at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months. Follow-up data were available for 82/92 (89.1%) patients. Results. One-year arrhythmia-free survival was 81.7% (67/82) in our study group. Major complications occurred in 3/82 (3.7%) patients with an acceptable rate. The value of ln(NT-proBNP) ( $P=0.025$ , odds ratio $\left[\text{OR}\right]=1.977$ , 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.087-3.596) and a family history of AF ( $P=0.041$ , $\text{HR}=9.269$ , 95% CI 1.097-78.295) could independently predict AF recurrence. The ROC analysis of ln(NT-proBNP) showed that NT-proBNP greater than 200.05 pg/ml (area under the curve: 0.772, 95% CI 0.642-0.902, $P=0.001$ , sensitivity 0.800, specificity 0.701) was the cut-off point for predicting late recurrence. Conclusions. CA is a safe and effective treatment for AF patients younger than 45 years. Elevated NT-proBNP level and a family history of AF could be used as predictors for late recurrence in young patients. The result of this study may help us take more comprehensive management of those with high-recurrence risks to reduce disease burden and improve quality of life.