Research on the Mechanism of Influencing Factors of the Urban Road Traffic Operation State

Abstract

Profound understanding of an interaction mechanism among influencing factors in the perspective of urban road traffic operation is of great significance for scientific and effective urban congestion management. In this paper, 6 indicators are proposed for the road traffic operation in the aspects of average speed of road sections, regional traffic index, and number of traffic incidents. Based on this, 4 major influencing factors and 12 measurable subinfluencing factors are proposed according to urban traffic supply and demand, and the SEM (structural equation model) is established to find out their interaction mechanism. And then, several sets of local traffic data collected in Shenzhen are used for model fitting, validation, and path analysis. The mathematical results show that all 6 indicators affiliated to the road traffic operation have a good explanation when it comes to the change of operation status. Among 4 latent variables in the traffic supply and demand aspect, the service equipment operation level and control equipment operation level can positively influence the road traffic operation status, while the urban traffic demand plays a negative role. Complex interactions among four latent variables are further pointed out. Finally, on the basis of the path coefficient relationship among the influencing factors, scientific suggestions and guidance are provided for urban road management control.