Influence Factors Analysis of Provincial Divorce Rate Spatial Distribution in China

Abstract

Divorce is the primary factor affecting the harmony and stability of the family and society. This paper uses spatial statistics to analyze the potential social causes of influencing the spatial distribution of divorce rates in various provinces of China. Firstly, the factors of social influence, family cohesion, and ethnic customs are constructed by factor analysis, then the spatial interaction effect of divorce rate in each province is brought into the model, and the spatial regression analysis of these three factors is carried out. The results show that social influence, especially the tertiary industry share of GDP, has a significant influence on the divorce rate, family cohesion has a distinct negative effect on the divorce rate, and ethnic customs have a noteworthy impact on the divorce rate. It is reflected in the high divorce rate of the majority of ethnic minority population, while, in the spatial data processing, the factor spatial lag model (FSLM) is better than the ordinary least square (OLS) regression model.