Quantitative Complexity Theory Used in the Prediction of Head-Up Tilt Testing Outcome

Abstract

Background. Head-up tilt testing (HUTT), a well-established tool in the diagnosis of vasovagal syncope, is time-consuming, and every provoked vasovagal reaction may result in consolidating the reflex mechanism. Therefore, identification of parameters that could shorten the duration of HUTT and prevent fainting is desirable. Quantitative complexity theory (QCT) may provide holistic information on the cardiovascular reaction in HUTT. The aim of the present article was to evaluate the prognostic value of complexity in comparison with traditional haemodynamic parameters (HR and BP) in predicting the HUTT outcome. Methods. Eighty-one healthy volunteers (74 men; mean age: 37.8 years) were included in this retrospective analysis of data collected within the project realized in Department of Cardiology and Internal Diseases, Military Institute of Medicine between January 2012 and October 2014. The subjects underwent HUTT, with beat-to-beat haemodynamic monitoring with a Niccomo™. The chosen haemodynamic parameters (including BP, HR, stroke volume, cardiac output, systemic vascular resistance) have been used in complexity analysis. Results. HUTT was positive in 54 (66.7%) study participants. The values of complexity were already higher in fainting subjects than those were in nonfainting ones 300 s before HUTT termination (HUTT_end), with a significant upward trend starting 150 s before (pre)syncope. An area under the curve (AUC) over 0.700 was observed for complexity from 120 s before HUTT_end, with a sensitivity of 63% and specificity of 78% at this time point. The prognostic value of complexity was superior to that of the HR and mean arterial pressure (MAP). Conclusions. Complexity has been shown to be a sensitive marker of cardiovascular haemodynamic response to orthostatic stress and proved to be superior over HR and BP in predicting HUTT outcomes.