Prediction of Labor Unemployment Based on Time Series Model and Neural Network Model

Author:

Liu Xitao1,Li Lihui1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Public Finance and Administration, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, China

Abstract

With the advent of big data, statistical accounting based on artificial intelligence can realistically reflect the dynamics of labor force and market segmentation. Therefore, based on the combination of machine learning algorithm and traditional statistical data under big data, a prediction model of unemployment in labor force based on the combination of time series model and neural network model is built. According to the theoretical parameters, the algorithm of the two-weight neural network is proposed, and the unemployment rate in labor force is predicted according to the weight combination of the two. The outcomes show that the fitting effect based on the combined model is superior to that of the single model and the traditional BP neural network model; at the same time, the prediction results with total unemployment and unemployment rate as evaluation indexes are excellent. The model can offer new ideas for assisting to solve the unemployment of the labor force in China.

Publisher

Hindawi Limited

Subject

General Mathematics,General Medicine,General Neuroscience,General Computer Science

Reference27 articles.

1. An analysis of the occupational structure of unemployed people in China in the 1920s and 1930s;Y. Tan;Journal of Northeast Normal University,2012

2. Empirical study on unemployment early warning modeling based on regression analysis;L. Hong;China Soft Science,2012

3. Evaluation of enterprise emergency management capability based on grey cluster analysis;G. Zhang;Economic Mathematics,2008

4. Evaluation of employment promotion effect of unemployment insurance system —— taking inner Mongolia autonomous region as an example;A. Jin;Financial Theory Research,2013

Cited by 3 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3