MODEL FOR FORMING SHIPPING ROUTES IN THE WATER AREA OF THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

MODEL FOR FORMING SHIPPING ROUTES IN THE WATER AREA OF THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE

Published:2022-06-30 Issue:2 Volume:2022 Page:18-26
ISSN:2658-6436
Container-title:Automation and modeling in design and management
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Andreeva Ekaterina Valerievna¹

Affiliation:

1. Admiral Makarov State University of Maritime and Inland Shipping

Abstract

This work is devoted to developing a generalized model for forming shipping routes in the waters of the Arctic seas. The research theme is related to solving the strategic task of providing a year-round navigation in the waters of the Northern Sea Route. The characteristics of the navigation-hydrographic and ice conditions for performing the maritime Arctic transport system are given. The article presents the main indicators characterizing the volume of cargo transportation carried out along the routes of the Northern Sea Route in 2021 and the number of ships operating in the water area. The main factors influencing the network development of year-round shipping routes are determined. An analytical review of known models and methods for assessing navigational risks are carried out. A list of the main factors of navigational risks is established. A generalized model is proposed for joint considering the influence of shallow depths, ice conditions and tightness of the water area on the navigation safety. The main formulae, correlations and limitations of the model, as well as generalized and particular criteria for indicators of navigational safety are given. The results of checking the model performance are presented. The possibility of a year-round navigation of two-type large-capacity vessels in the Sannikov Strait is considered. Applying the model makes it possible to perform a comparative assessment of the ship navigation routes according to the generalized criterion of navigational safety and particular criteria. A technique is developed for the practical use of the proposed model to solve the problems of ensuring safe navigation in the conditions of extended and a year-round navigation in the waters of the Northern Sea Route. The article outlines the ways of further research

Publisher

Bryansk State Technical University BSTU

Subject

General Medicine

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