Networked Time Series Prediction with Incomplete Data via Generative Adversarial Network

Author:

Zhu Yichen1,Jiang Bo1,Jin Haiming1,Zhang Mengtian1,Gao Feng2,Huang Jianqiang3,Lin Tao4,Wang Xinbing1

Affiliation:

1. Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

2. Zhejiang Lab, Hangzhou, China

3. Alibaba Damo Academy, Hangzhou, China

4. Communication University of China, Beijing, China

Abstract

A networked time series (NETS) is a family of time series on a given graph, one for each node. It has a wide range of applications from intelligent transportation, environment monitoring to smart grid management. An important task in such applications is to predict the future values of a NETS based on its historical values and the underlying graph. Most existing methods require complete data for training. However, in real-world scenarios, it is not uncommon to have missing data due to sensor malfunction, incomplete sensing coverage, etc. In this paper, we study the problem of NETS prediction with incomplete data . We propose NETS-ImpGAN, a novel deep learning framework that can be trained on incomplete data with missing values in both history and future. Furthermore, we propose Graph Temporal Attention Networks , which incorporate the attention mechanism to capture both inter-time series and temporal correlations. We conduct extensive experiments on four real-world datasets under different missing patterns and missing rates. The experimental results show that NETS-ImpGAN outperforms existing methods, reducing the MAE by up to 25%.

Publisher

Association for Computing Machinery (ACM)

Subject

General Computer Science

Reference66 articles.

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2. Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz and Nils Strodthoff. 2022. Diffusion-Based Time Series Imputation and Forecasting with Structured State Space Models. arXiv:2208.09399.

3. Paul D. Allison. 2001. Missing Data. Sage Publications, USA.

4. Irish Social Science Data Archive. 2016. ISSDA | Commission for Energy Regulation (CER). https://www.ucd.ie/issda/data/commissionforenergyregulationcer/.

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