Exchange rate, interest rate and economic development in Nigeria (1980-2020)

Author:

Olaniyan Samson Olajide1ORCID,Awoleye Baliqis Aderonke1ORCID,Olabiyi Kehinde Ajike1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Osun State University, Osogbo, Nigeria

Abstract

This paper investigated exchange rate, interest rate, and economic development in Nigeria between 1980 and 2020. The study employed secondary data and sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and World Bank Data Indicators covering periods of 1980 to 2020. The data were analyzed using correlation analysis, Johansen Co integration, and co integration regression Fully Modified ordnalist Square methods (FMOLS) were employed to established long run influence of exchange rate and interest rate on economic development. The study showed that long run relationship existed between exchange rate, interest rate, and economic development in Nigeria. Specifically, a number of results were obtained: in the case of HDI, economic development is negatively related to exchange rate; interest rate had significant relationship with economic development in Nigeria; and the interactive relationships of exchange rate and interest rate had a significant positive relationship with economic development. Using per capita income as a measurement of economic development revealed that; exchange rate had positive relationship withi economic development; the interactive effects of exchange rate and interest rate is positive and significant on economic development. Therefore, the study recommends that; proactive management of Nigeria’s exchange rate and interest rate must be the top priority of the country’s monetary authority. Therefore, the monetary authority through Central Bank of Nigeria should, as a matter of urgency, stabilize the nation’s exchange rate and improve the nation’s interest rate in a bid to attract investment and improve the nation’s capital accumulation necessary for long term economic development.

Publisher

Academic Research and Publishing U.G.

Subject

General Energy

Reference27 articles.

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2. Adeolu, O. A., & Godwin, A. (2013). Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Activities of Africa’s Sub-Groups. The International Trade Journal, 1-37.

3. Akpan, P.L. & Atan (2011). Foreign Exchange Market and Economic Growth in an Emerging Petroleum Based Economy: Evidence from Nigeria (1970-2003). African Economic and Business Review, 6 (2).

4. Anachedo, C. M., Echekoba, F. N., and Okpala, C. M. (2021). Effect of inflationary trend on Nigeria developing economy (2010-2019). International Journal of Research in Education and Sustainable Development, 1(6).

5. Bosworth PB (2014). Interest Rate and Economic Growth: Are they related? Centre for Retirement Research at Boston College Working Papers WP#2014-8, Cambridge, MA. Central Bank of Nigeria, (1990) (2000) (2006) (2010). Economic and Financial Statistical Bulletin.

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