THE EFFECT OF SELECTED MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS ON THE INFORMAL ECONOMY: THE CASE OF THE BALKAN COUNTRIES AND TURKEY

Author:

ÇELİK Duygu1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. İSTANBUL GELİŞİM ÜNİVERSİTESİ, İSTANBUL GELİŞİM MESLEK YÜKSEKOKULU

Abstract

In this study, using the data between 1990 and 2018, the effect of various macroeconomic indicators on the informal economy was investigated for 9 Balkan countries consisting of Greece, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Hungary and North Macedonia and Turkey. According to the results of the study, a one-unit increase in national income reduces the informal economy by 5.53 units. A one-unit increase in gross fixed capital formation increases the informal economy by 0.266 units. A one-unit increase in unemployment increases the informal economy by 0.164 units. A one-unit increase in inflation increases the informal economy by 0.007 units. A one-unit increase in taxes on goods and services reduces the informal economy by 1.18 units. There is a positive and significant relationship between income inequality and the informal economy. A one-unit increase in income inequality increases the informal economy by 0.361 units.

Publisher

International Journal of Economics and Administrative Studies

Subject

General Medicine

Reference17 articles.

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4. Erkuş, H. & Karagöz, K. (2009). Türkiye’de kayıt dışı ekonomi ve vergi kaybının tahmini. Maliye Dergisi, 156, p. 126-140.

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