Assessment of the impact of structural changes in sown areas on grain yields during the implementation of state programs

Author:

Demichev V. V.1,Panin A. V.1,Khoruzhy V. I.2,Khudyakova E. V.1

Affiliation:

1. Russian Timiryazev State Agrarian University

2. Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

Abstract

The article analyzes the dynamics and provides a forecast for 2021 of the yield of grain and leguminous crops in Russia. According to the results of the analysis for the period from 2006 to 2019, the average annual increase in yield by 0.6 center per ha was revealed for all categories of farms. The average grain yield in the forecast year will be in the range of 26.5 to 29.6 center per ha. The main focus of this article is on the assessment of the impact of structural shifts in sown areas on the yield of cereals and legumes. According to the results of the index method, it was found that due to changes in the regional structure of grain crops, the yield in Russia as a whole increased by an average of 5%. Based on the constructed regression model, it is concluded that the main factors affecting the grain yield are the productivity of the climate and the number of mineral fertilizers applied.

Publisher

PANORAMA Publishing House

Subject

General Engineering

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