ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF THE TOURIST ENTERPRISES ACTIVITY ASSESTMENT

Abstract

The work aims to develop an author's approach to modelling the performance of tourism enterprises using modern mathematical methods of multifactor modelling based on empirical data. To achieve this goal, the following tasks were set and solved: to generalize theoretical developments and practical approaches to evaluating the effectiveness of tourism enterprises at the regional and national levels; substantiate the methodological basis and choice of econometric tools for modelling the evaluation of the effectiveness of tourism enterprises, taking into account the available statistical base; to develop an econometric model for evaluating the effectiveness of tourism enterprises that would allow determining a system of indicators for assessing the impact of the effectiveness of tourism enterprises on the economic development of territories; to develop recommendations for the application of the author's model in the substantiation and management decisions in the process of forming the foundations of regional and national economic policy. The author's approach to assessing the impact of tourism enterprises on the processes of economic development of the regions is proposed in the article. In the process of econometric modelling, the method of analysis of canonical correlations was used, which allowed obtaining an analytical view of empirical relationships of sets of performance indicators of tourism enterprises and indicators of economic development of regions, which, in turn, allows to obtain a formalized interaction of tourism enterprises and region. to obtain a realistic estimate of the contribution of tourism enterprises to GRP generation. The canonical analysis of the interaction of indicators reflecting the economic performance of tourism enterprises in the regions of Ukraine and indicators of economic development of the regions showed that the most priority areas of tourism enterprises in the regions of Ukraine that contribute to the development of regions, territories and increase employment are revenues from tourism services in the form of sale of tourist vouchers to citizens of Ukraine abroad for the purpose of specialized tourism, leisure, recreation and children's tourism. The growth of the share of tourist services both in the structure of gross regional product and in the structure of consumption in the world should stimulate domestic tourist enterprises to work towards increasing those indicators of tourist activity that would increase their profitability and competitiveness in the distribution of tourist flows. with the state, national tourist facilities and tourist infrastructure, especially in regions with sufficient tourist potential and low level of its use, to ensure a high level of quality of tourist services in accordance with international standards, to develop tourist activities within Ukraine.