Uzun Kısa Vadeli Bellek Tekrarlayan Sinir Ağı Kullanarak Bitcoin Kripto Para Birimi Fiyat Tahmini

Author:

WARDAK Ahmad Bilal1,RASHEED Jawad2

Affiliation:

1. ISTANBUL AYDIN UNIVERSITY

2. İSTANBUL AYDIN ÜNİVERSİTESİ

Abstract

Due to its growing popularity and commercial acceptance, cryptocurrency is playing an increasingly essential role in altering the financial system. While many people are investing in cryptocurrency, the dynamic characteristics and predictability of cryptocurrency are still largely unknown, putting investments at risk. In this paper, we attempt to anticipate the Bitcoin price by taking into account a variety of factors that influence its value with the highest possible accuracy using (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network. The data we use in this work includes updated daily records of many aspects of Bitcoin pricing over a five-year period. Since the cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) data is so volatile, we implement an effective pre-processing of the data in order to have a better prediction result. With this solution, we gain accuracy of 95.7% and RMSE of 0.05. Furthermore, we compare this work with other existing methods based on performance and accuracy. This comparison demonstrates that utilizing LSTM with adequate hyperparameter tweaking is one of the most efficient ways for cryptocurrency price prediction.

Publisher

European Journal of Science and Technology

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,General Environmental Science

Reference22 articles.

1. A. Canziani, Adam Paszke, E. C. (2016). An Analysis of Deep Neural Network Models for Practical Applications. ArXiv, abs/1605.0.

2. Albariqi, R., & Winarko, E. (2020). Prediction of Bitcoin Price Change using Neural Networks. Proceeding - ICoSTA 2020: 2020 International Conference on Smart Technology and Applications: Empowering Industrial IoT by Implementing Green Technology for Sustainable Development, 1–4. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICoSTA48221.2020.1570610936

3. Alkaya, A. (2013). NEURON OPTIMIZATION OF EVOLUTIONARY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS FOR STOCK PRICE INDEX PREDICTION. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 5 (1), 12–21. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ijefs/issue/26160/2

4. Bitstamp. (2022). Bitcoin BTC/USD. https://www.bitstamp.net

5. CryptoCompare. (n.d.). The Premium API Solution. https://min-api.cryptocompare.com

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