Statistical Analysis of the Effect of Environmental Degradation on Mortality Rate: A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model Approach

Abstract

The relationship between air pollution and mortality calls for attention in recent time. Diverse analyses have been conducted globally, including important cities in Africa, United States, Europe, and Asia. In this study, a time-series analysis is proposed to analyze influence of environmental pollution on mortality in Nigeria using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model. Stationarity test shows that the data is stationary and VAR model suitably fits the data. The study reveals that environmental pollution has significant impact on mortality in Nigeria. Some useful recommendations were made.